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Swing Trade Recaps

Detailed breakdowns of our most successful swing trades and the strategy behind them

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UAMY Recap: An 80%+ Move Amid Market Volatility

Insider Buying Swing Trading Strategy

Current Market Position

Important Notice: As of October 2025, UAMY has already surged over 80% from our entry point.This is still an ongoing trade - we have not yet exited our position. This recap is for educational purposes only. Entering a position now would carry significant risk as much of the favorable news may already be priced in.

Current Price

$12.21

Entry Price

$6.75

Status

Still Holding

Why We Bought: The Perfect Storm

  • On September 30, 2025, an insider buy made on 9/26 was reported to the SEC for UAMY (United States Antimony Corporation), which brought our attention to the stock. The CEO purchased $613,000 worth of shares, increasing his ownership by 4%. This insider purchase suggested that the CEO believed the near and/or long term future of the company was positive. Our automated bot then qualified it for our Insider Buying Swing Trading Strategy for a variety of additional reasons provided below, setting up the trade for entry on October 1.
  • Geopolitical Catalyst: President Trump's June 11, 2025 announcement of a new trade framework with China, including 55% tariffs and provisions for the U.S. to obtain rare earth minerals from China, created immediate demand for domestic rare earth producers.
  • Strategic Material: Antimony, UAMY's primary product, is classified as a critical mineral by the U.S. government and is essential for defense applications, flame retardants, and semiconductor manufacturing.
  • Government Contract Potential: UAMY already has existing contracts with the U.S. Defense Logistics Agency ($245M IDIQ contract). There's growing speculation that the U.S. government may increase direct purchases of critical minerals to reduce dependence on foreign suppliers, particularly China.
  • Volume Confirmation: Daily trading volume exceeded $30 million, confirming sufficient liquidity for our swing trade criteria.
  • Volatility Profile: The stock's average monthly trading range exceeded 30%, supporting our swing-trade criteria and indicating high reactiveness to news.
  • Three additional proprietary parameters shared with clients were also met, further validating the trade setup.

Precedent Analysis

  • Intel Parallel: The Trump administration's Intel (INTC) trade provides a compelling blueprint for UAMY. After entering INTC on August 22nd, the position remained flat for nearly a month before exploding 40%+ on September 18th following NVIDIA's partnership announcement. This pattern suggests potential government accumulation of UAMY shares, with strategic news catalysts likely to follow - creating a similar "win" narrative for the administration while securing critical mineral supply chains.
  • Public Image Strategy: On September 18th, President Trump posted an AI-generated meme on Truth Social showing him trading stocks, demonstrating his desire to portray himself as a successful trader. This supports the thesis that Trump wants to orchestrate deals and partnerships that make his investments instantly profitable - creating a compelling narrative for both political optics and personal gain.

Trump's Stock Trading Meme (September 18th)

Trump's AI-generated trading meme showing him trading Intel stock

Trade Plan Sent to Clients

  • Allocate 25% of the swing trading account to this trade starting October 1, 2025.
  • Close the position after the stock price closes under the 7-day simple moving average indicator, which indicates reversal of trend, or wait for the sell signal in the swing alerts discord channel.

Trade Progress (Ongoing)

  • The stock opened at $6.75 on October 1, 2025, and quickly gained momentum as investors began to recognize the strategic importance of domestic rare earth production.
  • Geopolitical tensions continued to escalate, with China's dominance in rare earth minerals becoming a focal point of trade negotiations and national security concerns.
  • Defense contractors and technology companies began actively seeking alternative suppliers, creating additional demand for UAMY's antimony products.
  • The stock rallied as high as $13.90 before stabilizing around $12.21, demonstrating strong momentum and investor confidence in the geopolitical thesis.
  • Current Status: We are still holding our position as of October 10, 2025, with an unrealized gain of +80.9% from entry.
  • Since 25% of the trading account was allocated, the current portfolio impact is approximately +20.2%.
  • Market Crash Insulation: While the broader market experienced volatility due to tariff concerns, UAMY remained resilient and didn't fall with the general market. This demonstrates the stock's low correlation to market movements, as the very factors causing market crashes - tariffs and trade tensions - don't negatively affect UAMY and may actually benefit the company by increasing demand for domestic critical minerals.

Current Gain

+80.9%

Hold Time

8 trading days

Status

Still Holding

Conclusion

The UAMY trade demonstrates how geopolitical events can create exceptional opportunities for swing traders who understand sector dynamics, market correlation, and which insider buying patterns signal the strongest setups.

More importantly, this ongoing trade showcases the value of our low-market-correlation approach. By focusing on critical minerals and defense-related sectors, we have been able to capture significant gains while the broader market remained volatile.

Current Status: We continue to hold our UAMY position as it remains above sell levels (7 day SMA price) and the geopolitical catalysts that drove the initial move are still in play. The trade exemplifies our swing trading strategy's ability to capture extended moves.

The key lesson: In uncertain times, identifying sectors with low correlation to general market movements can provide both protection and opportunity. However, as UAMY's current price demonstrates, timing is everything - entering after an 80%+ move would carry significant risk.

NEGG Recap: How We Made a 212% Trade in 25 Trading Days

Insider Buying Swing Trading Strategy

Why we bought:

  • On 7/16, Newegg Commerce (NEGG) was qualified by our automated bot for our Insider Buying Swing Trading Strategy.
  • Major shareholder Vladimir Galkin, a 10% owner, filed a Form 4 showing a purchase of ~$2.7 million worth of stock, significantly increasing his position.
  • The stock had already been trending upward with strong momentum, and the insider conviction added fuel to the setup.
  • The stock had high short interest of 17.7%, increasing the probability of a short squeeze.
  • Daily trading volume exceeded $70 million, confirming liquidity.
  • The stock's average monthly trading range exceeded 30%, supporting our swing-trade criteria. High monthly ATR indicates high reactiveness to news.
  • Three additional proprietary parameters shared with clients were also met, further validating the trade

Trade Plan Sent to Clients:

  • Allocate 10% of the trading account to this swing trade starting 7/16/24.
  • Close the position after the stock price closes under the 7 day simple moving average indicator which indicates reversal of trend, or simply wait for the sell signal in the swing alerts discord channel.

Trade Result:

  • The stock opened at $29.92 on 7/16 and quickly gained momentum.
  • Investor excitement around the insider purchase fueled additional speculation and strong retail interest.
  • The insider continued to purchase more shares throughout the month.
  • Shorts began to cover position in mass, leading to a "short squeeze" causing rapid price increases.
  • Over the next 25 trading days, the stock rallied as high as $133, before stabilizing.
  • On 8/19, we exited at $93.55, securing a +212.7% gain from entry.
  • Since 10% of the trading account was allocated, the total portfolio impact was approximately +21.3%.

Total Gain

+212.7%

Hold Time

25 trading days (~5 weeks)

Conclusion

This trade demonstrates the explosive potential of the Insider Buying Swing Trading Strategy, where insider conviction combined with strong momentum led to outsized returns. While not every trade will deliver triple-digit gains, the system is designed to capitalize on moments where insider activity and market conditions align to create exceptional opportunities.

PLCE Recap: How We Made a 75% Trade in 2 Days

Insider Buying Swing Trading Strategy

Why we bought:

  • The stock fell 37% on 2/9 due to the company announcing preliminary earnings and the need for raising additional capital.
  • A few days later on 2/13, Saudi 10% Owners of PLCE submitted a Form 4 filing, indicating a purchase of around $20 million, increasing their position by 148%.
  • Daily trading volume exceeded $30 million.
  • The average monthly trading range exceeded 30%.
  • Three additional proprietary parameters shared with clients were met, further supporting the buying decision.

Trade Plan Sent to Clients:

  • Allocate 25% of the trading account to this trade starting 2/14/23
  • Estimated gain after 30 days is expected to be ~24%
  • Close the position after 30 days or take profits anywhere above a 24% gain for a more conservative approach.

Trade Result:

  • There was no drawdown for this trade.
  • Investors became excited about the Saudi initial investment, sending the price up 13%.
  • The next day (2/15), the Saudi investors unexpectedly announced additional purchases from 2/12 and 2/13 increasing their total ownership of the company to 54%.
  • This led PLCE to reach a peak gain of 182% on 2/15. The official Form 4 filing with the SEC was made at the end of the day on 2/15, after the price increase.
  • The official take-profit alert was sent to clients when the gain reached +75% following the unexpected investment increase. The total account gain was 18.75% since 25% of the trading account was allocated.

Total Gain

+75%

Hold Time

2 days

Conclusion:

This trade showcases the potential of the Insider Buying Swing Trading Strategy to deliver substantial returns within a relatively short time frame. Traders should consider the strategy's benefits and drawbacks and tailor their approach to their risk tolerance and investment goals.

IOVA Recap: How We Made a 30% Trade in 2 Days

Insider Buying Swing Trading Strategy

Why we bought:

  • The stock rose 31% on 2/20. According to Barrons, "The biotechnology company on Friday said the FDA granted accelerated approval for Amtagvi, Iovance's treatment for metastatic melanoma, which is the first and the only one-time, individualized T cell therapy to receive FDA approval for a solid tumor cancer."
  • After the news, the company issued a new stock offering which several insiders took part in. The timing in this scenario suggests that insiders may have had access to privileged information as participating in the stock offering potentially masks illicit actions under the guise of a legitimate transaction.
  • While we can't confirm if this is or is not the case, the possibility that we caught insider trading is a worthwhile variable to factor into our trade plan. According to our data, significant insider activity coupled with stock offerings tends to correspond with notable price changes, regardless of whether the activity is illegal or not.
  • Daily trading volume exceeded $30 million.
  • The average monthly trading range exceeded 30%.
  • Three additional proprietary parameters shared with clients were met, further supporting the buying decision.

Trade Plan Sent to Clients:

  • Allocate 25% of the trading account to this trade starting 2/21/23
  • Estimated gain after 30 days is expected to be ~12%
  • Close the position after 30 days or take profits above anywhere above a 12% gain for a more conservative approach.

Trade Result:

  • There was no drawdown for this trade.
  • Investors became excited about the insider purchase and the stock rose 31% on 2/21.

Total Gain

+30%

Hold Time

2 days

Conclusion:

This trade showcases the potential of the Insider Buying Swing Trading Strategy to deliver substantial returns within a relatively short time frame. Traders should consider the strategy's benefits and drawbacks and tailor their approach to their risk tolerance and investment goals.

DYN Recap: How We Made a 40% Trade in 2 Weeks

Insider Buying Swing Trading Strategy)

Strategy Notes:

  • Annual Return Potential: Our back-testing indicates a potential for an annual return of 85% to 127% based on 1.5 years of historical data (3/2022-9/2023). In the same period, the S&P 500 rose 12.8%.
  • Individual Trade Gains: This strategy demonstrates an estimated average trade gain of 21.7%, compared to 2% from the Insider Buying Day Trading Strategy. This is primarily due to a longer holding period.
  • Win Rate: Our back tests indicate a 61% win rate.
  • Scalability: The projected scalability of this strategy is 30 times greater compared to our day trading strategy. The longer holding period allows for the deployment of more capital without impacting the stock price.

Drawbacks:

Capital Lockup: One drawback is that this swing trading strategy requires capital to be tied up for up to 30 days until the trade plays out. This complicates execution relative to our Insider Buying Day Trading Strategy which takes one position at a time and closes it out before taking another. The Insider Buying Swing Trading Strategy can present scenarios where new trades are signaled while still holding previously signaled companies, so an assessment of how to allocate capital to each trade becomes a relevant issue to navigate. The working model for this strategy allocates 25% of trading funds to each position. This is subject to change.

Why we bought:

  • DYN issued a new stock offering which the CEO took part in. The timing in this scenario suggests that the CEO may have had access to privileged information as participating in the stock offering potentially masks illicit actions under the guise of a legitimate transaction.
  • The Director of DYN submitted a Form 4 filing, indicating a purchase of nearly $30 million on 1/11, effectively doubling their position.
  • Daily trading volume exceeded $30 million.
  • The average monthly trading range exceeded 30%.
  • Three additional proprietary parameters shared with clients were met, further supporting the buying decision.

Trade Plan Sent to Clients:

  • Allocate 25% of the trading account to this trade starting 1/12/23
  • Estimated gain is between 12.5% and 29%.
  • Close the position after 30 days or take profits within this range for a more conservative approach.

Trade Result:

  • At its lowest point, the position was down 8.4%, equivalent to approximately 2.1% of the overall account.
  • The trade turned profitable on 1/24.
  • There was news of a potential acquisition leading DYN to reach a peak gain of 48.7% on 1/26.
  • The official take-profit alert was sent when the gain reached +40%. The total account gain was 10% since 25% of the account was allocated.

Total Gain

+40%

Hold Time

12 days (10 trading days)

Conclusion:

This trade showcases the potential of the Insider Buying Swing Trading Strategy to deliver substantial returns within a relatively short time frame. Traders should consider the strategy's benefits and drawbacks and tailor their approach to their risk tolerance and investment goals.

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